Saudi Arabia and Strategic Autonomy

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Saudi Arabia and Strategic Autonomy

News Highlight

In recent years, Saudi Arabia has pursued an aggressive foreign strategy to strengthen its influence in West Asia.

Key Takeaway

  • Saudi Arabia, which had pursued an aggressive foreign strategy in recent years to strengthen its influence in West Asia while undermining Iran, its hated adversary, has now reversed course.
  • It is reaching out to old adversaries, holding discussions with new adversaries, and attempting to strike a balance amongst big powers while reforming its domestic economy.
  • If Saudi Arabia continues to assert its foreign policy autonomy and promote regional stability through diplomacy.
  • It might have major consequences for West Asia.
  • For many years, the kingdom’s animosity towards Iran was the primary motivator of Saudi foreign policy.
  • Saudi Arabia, for example, joined hands with its Gulf allies in Syria, Iran’s lone state partner in West Asia.
  • In addition, Turkey and the West are funding and arming the opposition to President Bashar al-Assad.

How is Saudi foreign policy changing?

  • Overview
    • For many years, the kingdom’s animosity towards Iran was the primary motivator of Saudi foreign policy.
    • As a result, there have been proxy conflicts throughout the region.
    • Saudi Arabia is India’s fourth largest commercial partner, accounting for more than 18% of India’s crude oil imports.
    • It is critical to examine its foreign policy as a model for India’s changing priorities in West Asia.

Saudi’s expansionist approach

  • Following China-mediated discussions, Saudi Arabia recently announced a plan to normalise diplomatic relations with Iran.
  • Soon after, rumours surfaced that Russia was mediating negotiations between Saudi Arabia and Syria.
  • That may result in the latter rejoining the Arab League before the next meeting, which is set for May 2023 in Saudi Arabia.
  • A Saudi-Omani group recently visited Yemen to negotiate a permanent truce with the Houthi rebels.
  • These actions significantly depart from Crown Prince Muhammad bin Salman’s policy.
  • This is happening at a time when Saudi Arabia is also attempting to strike a balance with the United States.
  • Its major armaments supplier, Russia, its OPEC-Plus partner, and China, the region’s new superpower.

Global Implications

  • About
    • May end the long-running Shia-Sunni antagonism in West Asian politics.
    • Put an end to proxy wars in Yemen, Lebanon, and Iraq.
    • As Western influence declines, Chinese influence grows.
    • Putin’s future trip plans may be affected.
    • Given none of Russia, China, the United States, or India is signatories to the ICC, this may not matter.
    • Putin’s future trip plans may be affected.
    • Given none of Russia, China, the United States, or India is signatories to the ICC, this may not matter.
    • Adheres to non-alignment, non-confrontation, and non-targeting of other countries.
    • For multipolar organisations to become politicised is unacceptable, as evidenced by the current stalemate at the G-20.

Impacts on India

  • Saudi’s closeness with China
    • The unexpected diplomatic thaw with Iran, mediated by China, has emphasised Saudi Arabia’s increased flexibility.
    • A leader who has already been chastised for making rash judgements that have led the ultra-conservative monarchy into an unending conflict in Yemen.
    • A forceful blockade of neighbouring Qatar and a heated rivalry with its regional adversary, Iran.
    • Saudi Arabia is also strengthening ties with China, its largest commercial partner.
  • Russia and Saudi Arabia
    • Following the commencement of the OPEC+ oil output accord in 2016, relations between the two countries grew stronger.
    • In October 2017, King Salman bin Abdulaziz made his historic first visit to Moscow.

Other developments

  • AUKUS
    • The US, Australia, and the UK unveiled a three-phase plan involving a $368 billion pact to give Australia nuclear-powered submarines over the next 30 years.
  • Japanese PM’s Visit to Delhi
    • Japan’s Prime Minister revealed Japan’s new Indo-Pacific Policy, indicating that Tokyo opposes Russia’s and China’s military plans.
  • The US hosted a virtual Democracy Summit
    • Pitching a front of democracies vs authoritarian states – deepening the global divide as;
      • Neither China nor Russia was invited, but Taiwan was.
      • They called the Ukraine War – an assault on democracy.

Conclusion

  • There is a reason why India’s current foreign policy of strategic autonomy and multipolarity is so similar to its traditional non-alignment policy.
  • Instead of viewing non-alignment as a necessity, there is virtue in viewing India’s historic balancing act as one that allows its foreign policy to be as flexible as possible to meet India’s needs.

Pic Courtesy: Everypixel

Content Source: The Hindu

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