News Highlight
It has been around seven months since the Russia-Ukraine war; inflation has risen wildly throughout Europe.
Key Takeaway
- In the months following the invasion, stricter sanctions against Russian oil and gas remained a contentious subject for countries in the European region.
- Russia has also increasingly decreased its oil exports to the European region and is planning to reduce them further if the U.S. and other nations put a price cap on its oil.
Inflation in Europe
- Energy related inflation:
- Energy-related inflation started to rise post-war and accelerated to over 40%.
- The impact of rising energy costs was felt across all European nations.
- In the U.K., energy inflation crossed the 70% mark; in Spain, it crossed the 60% mark, and in the Netherlands, it almost touched 100%.
- Food inflation:
- The overall inflation and food related inflation have surged to 10 year highs in Europe.
What is inflation?
- Inflation is the general increase in the prices of goods and services in an economy.
The factors causing inflation
- Demand push factors:
- It is caused by high demand and low production or supply of multiple commodities, creating a demand-supply gap, which leads to a hike in prices due to increased consumption.
- For example, when the government lowers taxes, it also drives demand.
- Cost Pull factors:
- It is caused by a shortage of factors of production like labour, land, capital, etc., and also due to artificial scarcity created due to hoarding.
- For example, if low-paid workers in a factory form a union and demand higher wages.
Types of Inflation
- Creeping Inflation:
- When the rise in prices is very slow (less than 3% per annum), like that of a snail or creeper, it is called “creeping inflation.”
- Walking inflation:
- When prices rise moderately, and the annual inflation rate is a single digit (3% – 10%), it is called “walking or trotting inflation.”
- Running Inflation:
- When prices rise rapidly, like the running of a horse at a rate of speed of 10% – 20% per annum, it is called “running inflation.”
- Galloping Inflation:
- Inflation in the double or triple-digit range of 20, 100, or 200 per cent a year is called galloping inflation.
Positive impacts of inflation
- Increasing Profits for Producers:
- In most cases, inflation benefits the producers of goods. They make more money because they can sell their products at higher prices.
- Shareholders’ income increases:
- If a company’s profits increase due to inflation, it can pay dividends to its shareholders.
- As a result, shareholders’ dividend income may increase during inflationary periods.
- Borrowers’ Advantages:
- Inflation reduces the purchasing power of money. As a result, if the borrower pays an interest rate lower than the inflation rate, he benefits from the process.
- This is because the actual value of the money returned by the borrower is less than that of the money borrowed.
- The government’s tax revenue improves:
- As goods and services rise, people should pay more indirect taxes.
- Tax revenue increases for the government, but the real value does not keep pace with the current inflation rate due to a lag in tax collection.
Negative impacts of inflation
- Real-Income falls for groups with fixed income:
- This means that people on fixed incomes, such as salaried workers, pensioners, and the like, will see a drop in real income.
- To put it another way, their purchasing power will be reduced.
- Income distribution inequality is rising:
- Profits for business owners and entrepreneurs rise due to inflation.
- People in fixed-income groups, however, see a decrease in their real income.
- As a result, income inequality is more pronounced during this time period.
- The value of the currency may depreciate:
- Due to less purchasing power parity, the demand for the dollar increases, depreciating other currencies..
- This benefits the exporters and will burden the importers.
- Lenders Will Sustain Losses:
- As mentioned before, borrowers benefit from inflation when it positively impacts them.
- As a result, lenders risk losing money during such times.
- This is because they receive a sum with less purchasing power than the amount loaned.
Content Source: The Hindu